UTSA vs South Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds — College Football Week 11
South Florida is favored to control Thursday night’s matchup against UTSA, with most experts expecting the Bulls to dominate offensively and secure an important conference win. The game carries major significance for South Florida’s AAC and potential CFP aspirations.
Match Context
The Bulls host the Roadrunners on November 6, coming off a loss to Memphis but benefiting from extra rest. UTSA enters the game after a convincing win over Tulane, which has created a bit of false confidence among bettors and fans.
Expert Opinion
“Expect USF to dictate the pace and get just about anything it wants offensively.”
Analyst Ence highlights South Florida’s offensive versatility and home-field advantage as the decisive factors in this matchup.
Best Bet and Analysis
The recommended wager is South Florida -13.5 (-115). Despite UTSA’s 22-point win against Tulane, that result exaggerates their performance level. Mistakes by Tulane—including a costly fumble, a dropped touchdown, and two forced interceptions—contributed significantly to the final margin.
UTSA Defensive Concerns
Advanced metrics reveal that UTSA’s defense remains vulnerable. Tulane’s offense generated a 13% explosive play rate, ranking among the top 15 nationally in Week 10, underscoring persistent gaps in the Roadrunners’ defensive scheme.
Author’s Summary
South Florida’s rested roster and dynamic offense should overpower UTSA’s inconsistent defense, giving the Bulls a strong chance to reassert control in the AAC race.